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NYQ · Valuation Lab
AGX
Argan, Inc.
Last$601.82
Market cap8.4B
EV/EBITDA47.2x
Intrinsic value
$9264.19
MoS +93.5% · Undervalued
Assuming 40.0% FCF margin and 50.2% Y1–5 growth.
Upside to price
EV (DCF)128.9B
Terminal share81%
Expected IV$9670.71
Probability weights
Projected free cash flows
Stage FCF path with present values · terminal 81% of EV
PV of stage FCFs24.6B
PV of terminal value104.3B
Enterprise value128.9B
Net cash / (debt)964M
Equity value129.9B
Intrinsic value / share$9264.19
| Year | Revenue | FCF | PV | DF |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y1 | 1.6B | 626M | 583.6M | 93.2% |
| Y2 | 2.4B | 940.2M | 817.2M | 86.9% |
| Y3 | 3.5B | 1.4B | 1.1B | 81.0% |
| Y4 | 5.3B | 2.1B | 1.6B | 75.6% |
| Y5 | 8B | 3.2B | 2.2B | 70.4% |
| Y6 | 10B | 4B | 2.6B | 65.7% |
| Y7 | 12.5B | 5B | 3.1B | 61.2% |
| Y8 | 15.6B | 6.2B | 3.6B | 57.1% |
| Y9 | 19.5B | 7.8B | 4.2B | 53.2% |
| Y10 | 24.4B | 9.8B | 4.8B | 49.6% |
| Terminal | — | — | 104.3B | — |
Educational DCF model only — not financial advice. Terminal value and assumptions dominate results; verify filings and run your own diligence.