Back to APG Overview
NYQ · Valuation Lab
APG
APi Group Corporation
Last$41.78
Market cap18.1B
EV/EBITDA19.5x
Intrinsic value
$25.61
MoS -63.1% · Overvalued
Assuming 7.7% FCF margin and 13.3% Y1–5 growth.
Upside to price
EV (DCF)14.1B
Terminal share52%
Expected IV$27.67
Probability weights
Projected free cash flows
Stage FCF path with present values · terminal 52% of EV
PV of stage FCFs6.7B
PV of terminal value7.4B
Enterprise value14.1B
Net cash / (debt)-3B
Equity value11.1B
Intrinsic value / share$25.61
| Year | Revenue | FCF | PV | DF |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y1 | 9.6B | 736.1M | 664.1M | 90.2% |
| Y2 | 10.8B | 834M | 678.8M | 81.4% |
| Y3 | 12.3B | 945M | 693.8M | 73.4% |
| Y4 | 13.9B | 1.1B | 709.1M | 66.2% |
| Y5 | 15.8B | 1.2B | 724.8M | 59.7% |
| Y6 | 16.8B | 1.3B | 697.6M | 53.9% |
| Y7 | 17.9B | 1.4B | 671.5M | 48.6% |
| Y8 | 19.1B | 1.5B | 646.4M | 43.9% |
| Y9 | 20.4B | 1.6B | 622.2M | 39.6% |
| Y10 | 21.8B | 1.7B | 598.9M | 35.7% |
| Terminal | — | — | 7.4B | — |
Educational DCF model only — not financial advice. Terminal value and assumptions dominate results; verify filings and run your own diligence.