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NYQ · Valuation Lab
ATI
ATI Inc.
Last$205.11
Market cap28B
EV/EBITDA34.8x
Intrinsic value
$25.48
MoS -705.1% · Overvalued
Assuming 7.4% FCF margin and 0.6% Y1–5 growth.
Upside to price
EV (DCF)4.9B
Terminal share53%
Expected IV$28.25
Probability weights
Projected free cash flows
Stage FCF path with present values · terminal 53% of EV
PV of stage FCFs2.3B
PV of terminal value2.6B
Enterprise value4.9B
Net cash / (debt)-1.4B
Equity value3.5B
Intrinsic value / share$25.48
| Year | Revenue | FCF | PV | DF |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y1 | 4.6B | 342M | 314M | 91.8% |
| Y2 | 4.6B | 344.1M | 289.9M | 84.3% |
| Y3 | 4.7B | 346.1M | 267.7M | 77.3% |
| Y4 | 4.7B | 348.2M | 247.2M | 71.0% |
| Y5 | 4.7B | 350.3M | 228.3M | 65.2% |
| Y6 | 4.8B | 357.3M | 213.8M | 59.8% |
| Y7 | 4.9B | 364.5M | 200.1M | 54.9% |
| Y8 | 5B | 371.8M | 187.4M | 50.4% |
| Y9 | 5.1B | 379.2M | 175.5M | 46.3% |
| Y10 | 5.2B | 386.8M | 164.3M | 42.5% |
| Terminal | — | — | 2.6B | — |
Educational DCF model only — not financial advice. Terminal value and assumptions dominate results; verify filings and run your own diligence.