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NYQ · Valuation Lab
DVA
DaVita Inc.
Last$188.69
Market cap12B
EV/EBITDA10.5x
Intrinsic value
$298.77
MoS +36.8% · Undervalued
Assuming 7.2% FCF margin and 6.0% Y1–5 growth.
Upside to price
EV (DCF)31.6B
Terminal share70%
Expected IV$327.60
Probability weights
Projected free cash flows
Stage FCF path with present values · terminal 70% of EV
PV of stage FCFs9.4B
PV of terminal value22.2B
Enterprise value31.6B
Net cash / (debt)-12.6B
Equity value19.1B
Intrinsic value / share$298.77
| Year | Revenue | FCF | PV | DF |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y1 | 14.7B | 1.1B | 992.8M | 94.0% |
| Y2 | 15.5B | 1.1B | 989.6M | 88.4% |
| Y3 | 16.5B | 1.2B | 986.3M | 83.1% |
| Y4 | 17.5B | 1.3B | 983.1M | 78.2% |
| Y5 | 18.5B | 1.3B | 979.8M | 73.5% |
| Y6 | 19.1B | 1.4B | 949M | 69.1% |
| Y7 | 19.6B | 1.4B | 919.1M | 65.0% |
| Y8 | 20.2B | 1.5B | 890.1M | 61.1% |
| Y9 | 20.8B | 1.5B | 862.1M | 57.5% |
| Y10 | 21.5B | 1.5B | 834.9M | 54.0% |
| Terminal | — | — | 22.2B | — |
Educational DCF model only — not financial advice. Terminal value and assumptions dominate results; verify filings and run your own diligence.