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NMS · Valuation Lab
FIGR
Figure Technology Solutions, Inc.
Last$28.73
Market cap6.4B
EV/EBITDA—
Intrinsic value
$11.95
MoS -140.5% · Overvalued
Assuming 15.4% FCF margin and 10.0% Y1–5 growth.
Upside to price
EV (DCF)2B
Terminal share61%
Expected IV$12.56
Probability weights
Projected free cash flows
Stage FCF path with present values · terminal 61% of EV
PV of stage FCFs794.6M
PV of terminal value1.2B
Enterprise value2B
Net cash / (debt)140.7M
Equity value2.2B
Intrinsic value / share$11.95
| Year | Revenue | FCF | PV | DF |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y1 | 561.4M | 86.5M | 79.7M | 92.2% |
| Y2 | 617.5M | 95.1M | 80.9M | 85.1% |
| Y3 | 679.3M | 104.6M | 82.1M | 78.5% |
| Y4 | 747.2M | 115.1M | 83.3M | 72.4% |
| Y5 | 821.9M | 126.6M | 84.5M | 66.8% |
| Y6 | 863M | 132.9M | 81.8M | 61.6% |
| Y7 | 906.2M | 139.6M | 79.2M | 56.8% |
| Y8 | 951.5M | 146.5M | 76.7M | 52.4% |
| Y9 | 999.1M | 153.9M | 74.3M | 48.3% |
| Y10 | 1B | 161.5M | 72M | 44.6% |
| Terminal | — | — | 1.2B | — |
Educational DCF model only — not financial advice. Terminal value and assumptions dominate results; verify filings and run your own diligence.