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NMS · Valuation Lab
MELI
MercadoLibre, Inc.
Last$1922.57
Market cap97.5B
EV/EBITDA26.4x
Intrinsic value
$15089.25
MoS +87.3% · Undervalued
Assuming 15.0% FCF margin and 49.0% Y1–5 growth.
Upside to price
EV (DCF)771.7B
Terminal share71%
Expected IV$15740.25
Probability weights
Projected free cash flows
Stage FCF path with present values · terminal 71% of EV
PV of stage FCFs224.4B
PV of terminal value547.2B
Enterprise value771.7B
Net cash / (debt)-6.7B
Equity value765B
Intrinsic value / share$15089.25
| Year | Revenue | FCF | PV | DF |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y1 | 47.4B | 7.1B | 6.5B | 90.9% |
| Y2 | 70.6B | 10.6B | 8.7B | 82.6% |
| Y3 | 105.2B | 15.8B | 11.8B | 75.0% |
| Y4 | 156.8B | 23.5B | 16B | 68.2% |
| Y5 | 233.6B | 35B | 21.7B | 62.0% |
| Y6 | 290.8B | 43.6B | 24.6B | 56.3% |
| Y7 | 362B | 54.3B | 27.8B | 51.2% |
| Y8 | 450.7B | 67.6B | 31.4B | 46.5% |
| Y9 | 561.1B | 84.2B | 35.6B | 42.3% |
| Y10 | 698.6B | 104.8B | 40.3B | 38.4% |
| Terminal | — | — | 547.2B | — |
Educational DCF model only — not financial advice. Terminal value and assumptions dominate results; verify filings and run your own diligence.