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NMS · Valuation Lab
META
Meta Platforms, Inc.
Last$588.77
Market cap1.5T
EV/EBITDA13.9x
Intrinsic value
$529.40
MoS -11.2% · Fairly Valued
Assuming 9.4% FCF margin and 28.0% Y1–5 growth.
Upside to price
EV (DCF)1.2T
Terminal share64%
Expected IV$561.45
Probability weights
Projected free cash flows
Stage FCF path with present values · terminal 64% of EV
PV of stage FCFs429.7B
PV of terminal value759.8B
Enterprise value1.2T
Net cash / (debt)-22.1B
Equity value1.2T
Intrinsic value / share$529.40
| Year | Revenue | FCF | PV | DF |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y1 | 292.2B | 27.5B | 25B | 91.0% |
| Y2 | 374B | 35.2B | 29.1B | 82.7% |
| Y3 | 478.7B | 45B | 33.9B | 75.3% |
| Y4 | 612.7B | 57.6B | 39.4B | 68.5% |
| Y5 | 784.3B | 73.7B | 45.9B | 62.3% |
| Y6 | 894B | 84B | 47.6B | 56.7% |
| Y7 | 1T | 95.8B | 49.4B | 51.5% |
| Y8 | 1.2T | 109.2B | 51.2B | 46.9% |
| Y9 | 1.3T | 124.5B | 53.1B | 42.7% |
| Y10 | 1.5T | 141.9B | 55.1B | 38.8% |
| Terminal | — | — | 759.8B | — |
Educational DCF model only — not financial advice. Terminal value and assumptions dominate results; verify filings and run your own diligence.