Back to NVR Overview
NYQ · Valuation Lab
NVR
NVR, Inc.
Last$6365.78
Market cap17B
EV/EBITDA11.1x
Intrinsic value
$5142.52
MoS -23.8% · Overvalued
Assuming 15.0% FCF margin and -10.0% Y1–5 growth.
Upside to price
EV (DCF)13.7B
Terminal share52%
Expected IV$5827.55
Probability weights
Projected free cash flows
Stage FCF path with present values · terminal 52% of EV
PV of stage FCFs6.6B
PV of terminal value7.1B
Enterprise value13.7B
Net cash / (debt)43M
Equity value13.8B
Intrinsic value / share$5142.52
| Year | Revenue | FCF | PV | DF |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y1 | 8.7B | 1.3B | 1.2B | 92.2% |
| Y2 | 7.8B | 1.2B | 993.9M | 84.9% |
| Y3 | 7B | 1.1B | 824.3M | 78.3% |
| Y4 | 6.3B | 947.9M | 683.7M | 72.1% |
| Y5 | 5.7B | 853.1M | 567.1M | 66.5% |
| Y6 | 5.8B | 870.1M | 533.1M | 61.3% |
| Y7 | 5.9B | 887.5M | 501.1M | 56.5% |
| Y8 | 6B | 905.3M | 471M | 52.0% |
| Y9 | 6.2B | 923.4M | 442.8M | 47.9% |
| Y10 | 6.3B | 941.9M | 416.2M | 44.2% |
| Terminal | — | — | 7.1B | — |
Educational DCF model only — not financial advice. Terminal value and assumptions dominate results; verify filings and run your own diligence.