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NYQ · Valuation Lab
XOM
ExxonMobil Holdings Corporation
Last$151.63
Market cap—
EV/EBITDA10.0x
Intrinsic value
$6671452914765.17
MoS +100.0% · Undervalued
Assuming 5.7% FCF margin and 44.1% Y1–5 growth.
Upside to price
EV (DCF)6.7T
Terminal share85%
Expected IV$6727979788245.92
Probability weights
Projected free cash flows
Stage FCF path with present values · terminal 85% of EV
PV of stage FCFs1T
PV of terminal value5.7T
Enterprise value6.7T
Net cash / (debt)-31.8B
Equity value6.7T
Intrinsic value / share$6671452914765.17
| Year | Revenue | FCF | PV | DF |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y1 | 520.3B | 29.7B | 28B | 94.3% |
| Y2 | 749.7B | 42.7B | 38B | 89.0% |
| Y3 | 1.1T | 61.6B | 51.7B | 84.0% |
| Y4 | 1.6T | 88.7B | 70.3B | 79.2% |
| Y5 | 2.2T | 127.9B | 95.6B | 74.7% |
| Y6 | 2.7T | 156.1B | 110.1B | 70.5% |
| Y7 | 3.3T | 190.6B | 126.8B | 66.5% |
| Y8 | 4.1T | 232.8B | 146B | 62.7% |
| Y9 | 5T | 284.2B | 168.2B | 59.2% |
| Y10 | 6.1T | 347B | 193.8B | 55.8% |
| Terminal | — | — | 5.7T | — |
Educational DCF model only — not financial advice. Terminal value and assumptions dominate results; verify filings and run your own diligence.