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NYQ · Valuation Lab
XYZ
Block, Inc.
Last$84.20
Market cap50.1B
EV/EBITDA32.3x
Intrinsic value
$60.67
MoS -38.8% · Overvalued
Assuming 15.0% FCF margin and 4.9% Y1–5 growth.
Upside to price
EV (DCF)33.3B
Terminal share33%
Expected IV$62.68
Probability weights
Projected free cash flows
Stage FCF path with present values · terminal 33% of EV
PV of stage FCFs22.4B
PV of terminal value10.8B
Enterprise value33.3B
Net cash / (debt)-812.4M
Equity value32.5B
Intrinsic value / share$60.67
| Year | Revenue | FCF | PV | DF |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y1 | 25.7B | 3.9B | 3.4B | 87.0% |
| Y2 | 26.9B | 4B | 3.1B | 75.7% |
| Y3 | 28.3B | 4.2B | 2.8B | 65.9% |
| Y4 | 29.6B | 4.4B | 2.5B | 57.3% |
| Y5 | 31.1B | 4.7B | 2.3B | 49.9% |
| Y6 | 31.9B | 4.8B | 2.1B | 43.4% |
| Y7 | 32.7B | 4.9B | 1.9B | 37.8% |
| Y8 | 33.5B | 5B | 1.7B | 32.9% |
| Y9 | 34.3B | 5.1B | 1.5B | 28.6% |
| Y10 | 35.2B | 5.3B | 1.3B | 24.9% |
| Terminal | — | — | 10.8B | — |
Educational DCF model only — not financial advice. Terminal value and assumptions dominate results; verify filings and run your own diligence.