Back to YPF Overview
NYQ · Valuation Lab
YPF
YPF Sociedad Anónima
Last$48.67
Market cap19.1B
EV/EBITDA1.8x
Intrinsic value
$2907227.00
MoS +100.0% · Undervalued
Assuming 15.0% FCF margin and 42.8% Y1–5 growth.
Upside to price
EV (DCF)1152.3T
Terminal share84%
Expected IV$2837441.44
Probability weights
Projected free cash flows
Stage FCF path with present values · terminal 84% of EV
PV of stage FCFs179.6T
PV of terminal value972.7T
Enterprise value1152.3T
Net cash / (debt)-12.5T
Equity value1139.9T
Intrinsic value / share$2907227.00
| Year | Revenue | FCF | PV | DF |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y1 | 36.2T | 5.4T | 5.1T | 94.3% |
| Y2 | 51.6T | 7.7T | 6.9T | 89.0% |
| Y3 | 73.7T | 11.1T | 9.3T | 84.0% |
| Y4 | 105.3T | 15.8T | 12.5T | 79.2% |
| Y5 | 150.4T | 22.6T | 16.9T | 74.7% |
| Y6 | 182.6T | 27.4T | 19.3T | 70.5% |
| Y7 | 221.6T | 33.2T | 22.1T | 66.5% |
| Y8 | 269.1T | 40.4T | 25.3T | 62.7% |
| Y9 | 326.6T | 49T | 29T | 59.2% |
| Y10 | 396.5T | 59.5T | 33.2T | 55.8% |
| Terminal | — | — | 972.7T | — |
Educational DCF model only — not financial advice. Terminal value and assumptions dominate results; verify filings and run your own diligence.