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NMS · Valuation Lab
CRDO
Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd
Last$224.63
Market cap41.9B
EV/EBITDA84.4x
Intrinsic value
$21.99
MoS -921.7% · Overvalued
Assuming 18.8% FCF margin and 10.0% Y1–5 growth.
Upside to price
EV (DCF)2.7B
Terminal share33%
Expected IV$22.38
Probability weights
Projected free cash flows
Stage FCF path with present values · terminal 33% of EV
PV of stage FCFs1.8B
PV of terminal value888M
Enterprise value2.7B
Net cash / (debt)1.4B
Equity value4.1B
Intrinsic value / share$21.99
| Year | Revenue | FCF | PV | DF |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y1 | 1.5B | 276.1M | 238M | 86.2% |
| Y2 | 1.6B | 303.7M | 225.7M | 74.3% |
| Y3 | 1.8B | 334.1M | 214M | 64.1% |
| Y4 | 2B | 367.5M | 203M | 55.2% |
| Y5 | 2.2B | 404.2M | 192.5M | 47.6% |
| Y6 | 2.3B | 424.5M | 174.2M | 41.0% |
| Y7 | 2.4B | 445.7M | 157.7M | 35.4% |
| Y8 | 2.5B | 468M | 142.7M | 30.5% |
| Y9 | 2.6B | 491.4M | 129.2M | 26.3% |
| Y10 | 2.7B | 515.9M | 117M | 22.7% |
| Terminal | — | — | 888M | — |
Educational DCF model only — not financial advice. Terminal value and assumptions dominate results; verify filings and run your own diligence.