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NYQ · Valuation Lab
FIX
Comfort Systems USA, Inc.
Last$1737.00
Market cap61.1B
EV/EBITDA31.7x
Intrinsic value
$483.63
MoS -259.2% · Overvalued
Assuming 16.4% FCF margin and 1.0% Y1–5 growth.
Upside to price
EV (DCF)17.3B
Terminal share38%
Expected IV$501.12
Probability weights
Projected free cash flows
Stage FCF path with present values · terminal 38% of EV
PV of stage FCFs10.7B
PV of terminal value6.5B
Enterprise value17.3B
Net cash / (debt)-233.4M
Equity value17B
Intrinsic value / share$483.63
| Year | Revenue | FCF | PV | DF |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y1 | 11.3B | 1.9B | 1.7B | 88.8% |
| Y2 | 11.5B | 1.9B | 1.5B | 78.8% |
| Y3 | 11.6B | 1.9B | 1.3B | 69.9% |
| Y4 | 11.7B | 1.9B | 1.2B | 62.1% |
| Y5 | 11.8B | 1.9B | 1.1B | 55.1% |
| Y6 | 12B | 2B | 965.5M | 48.9% |
| Y7 | 12.3B | 2B | 874.1M | 43.4% |
| Y8 | 12.5B | 2.1B | 791.4M | 38.5% |
| Y9 | 12.8B | 2.1B | 716.5M | 34.2% |
| Y10 | 13B | 2.1B | 648.7M | 30.4% |
| Terminal | — | — | 6.5B | — |
Educational DCF model only — not financial advice. Terminal value and assumptions dominate results; verify filings and run your own diligence.