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NMS · Valuation Lab
INTC
Intel Corporation
Last$101.06
Market cap509.7B
EV/EBITDA32.4x
Intrinsic value
$21.66
MoS -366.6% · Overvalued
Assuming 8.5% FCF margin and 25.4% Y1–5 growth.
Upside to price
EV (DCF)130.1B
Terminal share47%
Expected IV$22.90
Probability weights
Projected free cash flows
Stage FCF path with present values · terminal 47% of EV
PV of stage FCFs68.8B
PV of terminal value61.2B
Enterprise value130.1B
Net cash / (debt)-20.8B
Equity value109.2B
Intrinsic value / share$21.66
| Year | Revenue | FCF | PV | DF |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y1 | 71.5B | 6.1B | 5.3B | 87.4% |
| Y2 | 89.7B | 7.6B | 5.8B | 76.4% |
| Y3 | 112.5B | 9.6B | 6.4B | 66.8% |
| Y4 | 141B | 12B | 7B | 58.4% |
| Y5 | 176.9B | 15B | 7.7B | 51.0% |
| Y6 | 199.3B | 16.9B | 7.6B | 44.6% |
| Y7 | 224.6B | 19.1B | 7.4B | 39.0% |
| Y8 | 253.2B | 21.5B | 7.3B | 34.1% |
| Y9 | 285.3B | 24.3B | 7.2B | 29.8% |
| Y10 | 321.5B | 27.3B | 7.1B | 26.0% |
| Terminal | — | — | 61.2B | — |
Educational DCF model only — not financial advice. Terminal value and assumptions dominate results; verify filings and run your own diligence.