Back to MCO Overview
NYQ · Valuation Lab
MCO
Moody's Corporation
Last$483.98
Market cap83.8B
EV/EBITDA22.2x
Intrinsic value
$348.29
MoS -39.0% · Overvalued
Assuming 31.6% FCF margin and 15.1% Y1–5 growth.
Upside to price
EV (DCF)66.4B
Terminal share56%
Expected IV$361.10
Probability weights
Projected free cash flows
Stage FCF path with present values · terminal 56% of EV
PV of stage FCFs29.5B
PV of terminal value37B
Enterprise value66.4B
Net cash / (debt)-6.1B
Equity value60.3B
Intrinsic value / share$348.29
| Year | Revenue | FCF | PV | DF |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y1 | 9.4B | 3B | 2.7B | 90.7% |
| Y2 | 10.8B | 3.4B | 2.8B | 82.2% |
| Y3 | 12.4B | 3.9B | 2.9B | 74.5% |
| Y4 | 14.3B | 4.5B | 3.1B | 67.5% |
| Y5 | 16.5B | 5.2B | 3.2B | 61.2% |
| Y6 | 17.7B | 5.6B | 3.1B | 55.5% |
| Y7 | 19.1B | 6B | 3B | 50.3% |
| Y8 | 20.5B | 6.5B | 3B | 45.6% |
| Y9 | 22.1B | 7B | 2.9B | 41.3% |
| Y10 | 23.8B | 7.5B | 2.8B | 37.5% |
| Terminal | — | — | 37B | — |
Educational DCF model only — not financial advice. Terminal value and assumptions dominate results; verify filings and run your own diligence.