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NMS · Valuation Lab
NVDA
NVIDIA Corporation
Last$219.22
Market cap5.3T
EV/EBITDA30.0x
Intrinsic value
$23.45
MoS -834.8% · Overvalued
Assuming 18.3% FCF margin and 10.0% Y1–5 growth.
Upside to price
EV (DCF)527.7B
Terminal share35%
Expected IV$24.08
Probability weights
Projected free cash flows
Stage FCF path with present values · terminal 35% of EV
PV of stage FCFs342.2B
PV of terminal value185.4B
Enterprise value527.7B
Net cash / (debt)40.4B
Equity value568B
Intrinsic value / share$23.45
| Year | Revenue | FCF | PV | DF |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y1 | 278.8B | 51B | 44.3B | 86.8% |
| Y2 | 306.7B | 56.1B | 42.3B | 75.3% |
| Y3 | 337.4B | 61.7B | 40.3B | 65.3% |
| Y4 | 371.1B | 67.9B | 38.5B | 56.7% |
| Y5 | 408.2B | 74.7B | 36.7B | 49.2% |
| Y6 | 428.7B | 78.4B | 33.5B | 42.7% |
| Y7 | 450.1B | 82.4B | 30.5B | 37.0% |
| Y8 | 472.6B | 86.5B | 27.8B | 32.1% |
| Y9 | 496.2B | 90.8B | 25.3B | 27.9% |
| Y10 | 521B | 95.4B | 23.1B | 24.2% |
| Terminal | — | — | 185.4B | — |
Educational DCF model only — not financial advice. Terminal value and assumptions dominate results; verify filings and run your own diligence.