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NYQ · Valuation Lab
ORCL
Oracle Corporation
Last$144.39
Market cap415.9B
EV/EBITDA18.0x
Intrinsic value
$74.21
MoS -94.6% · Overvalued
Assuming 15.0% FCF margin and 20.6% Y1–5 growth.
Upside to price
EV (DCF)349.3B
Terminal share58%
Expected IV$79.61
Probability weights
Projected free cash flows
Stage FCF path with present values · terminal 58% of EV
PV of stage FCFs145B
PV of terminal value204.3B
Enterprise value349.3B
Net cash / (debt)-135.5B
Equity value213.8B
Intrinsic value / share$74.21
| Year | Revenue | FCF | PV | DF |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y1 | 81.2B | 12.2B | 11B | 90.6% |
| Y2 | 98B | 14.7B | 12.1B | 82.1% |
| Y3 | 118.1B | 17.7B | 13.2B | 74.4% |
| Y4 | 142.5B | 21.4B | 14.4B | 67.4% |
| Y5 | 171.8B | 25.8B | 15.7B | 61.1% |
| Y6 | 189.5B | 28.4B | 15.7B | 55.3% |
| Y7 | 209.1B | 31.4B | 15.7B | 50.1% |
| Y8 | 230.6B | 34.6B | 15.7B | 45.4% |
| Y9 | 254.3B | 38.2B | 15.7B | 41.1% |
| Y10 | 280.5B | 42.1B | 15.7B | 37.3% |
| Terminal | — | — | 204.3B | — |
Educational DCF model only — not financial advice. Terminal value and assumptions dominate results; verify filings and run your own diligence.