Back to PLTR Overview
NMS · Valuation Lab
PLTR
Palantir Technologies Inc.
Last$158.43
Market cap379.8B
EV/EBITDA143.2x
Intrinsic value
$18.73
MoS -746.1% · Overvalued
Assuming 35.1% FCF margin and 10.0% Y1–5 growth.
Upside to price
EV (DCF)33.8B
Terminal share46%
Expected IV$19.13
Probability weights
Projected free cash flows
Stage FCF path with present values · terminal 46% of EV
PV of stage FCFs18.4B
PV of terminal value15.4B
Enterprise value33.8B
Net cash / (debt)9.2B
Equity value43B
Intrinsic value / share$18.73
| Year | Revenue | FCF | PV | DF |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y1 | 6.8B | 2.4B | 2.1B | 89.3% |
| Y2 | 7.4B | 2.6B | 2.1B | 79.7% |
| Y3 | 8.2B | 2.9B | 2B | 71.2% |
| Y4 | 9B | 3.2B | 2B | 63.5% |
| Y5 | 9.9B | 3.5B | 2B | 56.7% |
| Y6 | 10.4B | 3.7B | 1.9B | 50.6% |
| Y7 | 10.9B | 3.8B | 1.7B | 45.2% |
| Y8 | 11.5B | 4B | 1.6B | 40.4% |
| Y9 | 12.1B | 4.2B | 1.5B | 36.0% |
| Y10 | 12.7B | 4.4B | 1.4B | 32.2% |
| Terminal | — | — | 15.4B | — |
Educational DCF model only — not financial advice. Terminal value and assumptions dominate results; verify filings and run your own diligence.