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NMS · Valuation Lab
SNDK
Sandisk Corporation
Last$1350.50
Market cap200B
EV/EBITDA34.9x
Intrinsic value
$357.71
MoS -277.5% · Overvalued
Assuming 17.1% FCF margin and 10.0% Y1–5 growth.
Upside to price
EV (DCF)49.4B
Terminal share56%
Expected IV$373.19
Probability weights
Projected free cash flows
Stage FCF path with present values · terminal 56% of EV
PV of stage FCFs21.7B
PV of terminal value27.8B
Enterprise value49.4B
Net cash / (debt)3.5B
Equity value53B
Intrinsic value / share$357.71
| Year | Revenue | FCF | PV | DF |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y1 | 14.5B | 2.5B | 2.3B | 91.4% |
| Y2 | 16B | 2.7B | 2.3B | 83.5% |
| Y3 | 17.5B | 3B | 2.3B | 76.3% |
| Y4 | 19.3B | 3.3B | 2.3B | 69.7% |
| Y5 | 21.2B | 3.6B | 2.3B | 63.7% |
| Y6 | 22.3B | 3.8B | 2.2B | 58.2% |
| Y7 | 23.4B | 4B | 2.1B | 53.2% |
| Y8 | 24.6B | 4.2B | 2B | 48.6% |
| Y9 | 25.8B | 4.4B | 2B | 44.4% |
| Y10 | 27.1B | 4.6B | 1.9B | 40.6% |
| Terminal | — | — | 27.8B | — |
Educational DCF model only — not financial advice. Terminal value and assumptions dominate results; verify filings and run your own diligence.