Back to TLN Overview
NMS · Valuation Lab
TLN
Talen Energy Corporation
Last$329.84
Market cap15.8B
EV/EBITDA31.8x
Intrinsic value
$458.59
MoS +28.1% · Undervalued
Assuming 42.9% FCF margin and 10.0% Y1–5 growth.
Upside to price
EV (DCF)27.7B
Terminal share53%
Expected IV$476.87
Probability weights
Projected free cash flows
Stage FCF path with present values · terminal 53% of EV
PV of stage FCFs12.9B
PV of terminal value14.8B
Enterprise value27.7B
Net cash / (debt)-5.8B
Equity value21.9B
Intrinsic value / share$458.59
| Year | Revenue | FCF | PV | DF |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y1 | 3.6B | 1.5B | 1.4B | 90.8% |
| Y2 | 3.9B | 1.7B | 1.4B | 82.5% |
| Y3 | 4.3B | 1.8B | 1.4B | 75.0% |
| Y4 | 4.7B | 2B | 1.4B | 68.1% |
| Y5 | 5.2B | 2.2B | 1.4B | 61.9% |
| Y6 | 5.5B | 2.3B | 1.3B | 56.2% |
| Y7 | 5.7B | 2.5B | 1.3B | 51.1% |
| Y8 | 6B | 2.6B | 1.2B | 46.4% |
| Y9 | 6.3B | 2.7B | 1.1B | 42.1% |
| Y10 | 6.7B | 2.9B | 1.1B | 38.3% |
| Terminal | — | — | 14.8B | — |
Educational DCF model only — not financial advice. Terminal value and assumptions dominate results; verify filings and run your own diligence.